San Jose Sharks Weigh Celebrini Extension After Carlsson Shock

Staff Writer
8 Min Read
San Jose Sharks center Macklin Celebrini (71) pursues the puck while defended by St. Louis Blues right winger Jimmy Snuggerud (21) and defenseman Justin Holl (4) in the third period at SAP Center at San Jose. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images

The San Jose Sharks entered the offseason with a clear objective: keep their rebuild on track and start charting the long‑term future around Macklin Celebrini. The Philadelphia Flyers’ massive offer sheet to Anaheim Ducks center Leo Carlsson has now added a new layer of urgency and cost to those plans. The deal has reset the market for elite young centers and forced every front office, including San Jose’s, to reassess what a franchise cornerstone will cost on his second contract.

It is a salary cap conversation more familiar to fans who track the financial side of the league than to casual observers. That same attention to numbers is what drives outlets such as PlayUSA, which keeps a state-by-state rundown of licensed online casinos, and it now applies just as much to NHL front offices working through cap models and long‑term projections. For the Sharks, the Carlsson deal does not immediately change Celebrini’s contract status, but it does shift leverage and expectations when talks resume.

Carlsson Offer Sheet Redefines The Market

Carlsson’s offer sheet from Philadelphia reportedly carries an average annual value in the neighborhood of 18 million dollars, stretched across the prime of his career. Anaheim has seven days to decide whether to match, but the impact is already felt around the league. A young, top‑line center with only a few seasons of NHL experience just reset the high end of the market in dramatic fashion.

Before Carlsson signed that offer sheet, the internal comps for Celebrini’s next deal were more traditional. Team executives and agents pointed to deals for players like Auston Matthews and Nathan MacKinnon as benchmarks for elite forwards in their mid‑20s. Now, the ceiling has shifted. If the Ducks match, they lock in a staggering cap hit. If they walk away, Philadelphia takes on the contract, and the league has a hard number to point to in future negotiations. Either outcome changes how teams like San Jose model their cap for the next decade.

For the Sharks, the timing matters. Celebrini, 20, is coming off a breakout season as the face of the franchise. He posted 92 points in 82 games and logged heavy minutes in all situations, quickly becoming the focal point of Ryan Warsofsky’s offense. His trajectory matches the type of player who now has Carlsson-sized leverage, and agents know it.

Celebrini’s Contract Status Gives Sharks A Window

Importantly, Celebrini is entering the final year of his entry‑level contract. That makes him extension‑eligible as of July 1, but it does not make him a restricted free agent. Offer sheets only apply to RFAs, which means there is no threat of a rival club swooping in with a Carlsson‑style deal this summer. The pressure on San Jose is internal and financial, not procedural.

General manager Mike Grier has said he is open to signing both Celebrini and Will Smith to extensions in the offseason, but he has also emphasized that there is no rush. That stance made sense before the Carlsson news. It still holds structurally, yet the cost of waiting has risen. If the Sharks delay talks and Celebrini turns in another elite year in 2025–26, his camp can point directly to the Carlsson contract as proof that the market has shifted upwards for young franchise centers.

The league’s salary cap is also climbing. Projections have the upper limit approaching the 113.5 million dollar range for the 2027–28 season, a significant jump from the current 95.5 million. Rising cap space gives teams more flexibility, but it also justifies higher AAVs for stars. A front office that once hoped to land Celebrini in the mid‑teens may now have to budget for a number closer to or even above 20 million per season if talks drag into next summer and his performance continues to trend up.

Sharks Offseason Strategy Beyond Celebrini

All of this unfolds against a broader Sharks offseason that already features crucial decisions. San Jose is still in the thick of a rebuild, structuring its roster around Celebrini, Smith, and a wave of younger talent. Extensions for core pieces like Mario Ferraro and the long‑term outlook on defenseman Shakir Mukhamadullin factor into how much room Grier can allocate to his star center.

So far, the Sharks have avoided major spending in free agency. They have targeted shorter‑term deals and value additions, leaving big-ticket commitments for the players they see as part of the next contending core. A Celebrini extension sits at the center of that strategy. Secure him early at a number that reflects both his production and the pre‑Carlsson market, and San Jose gains certainty. Wait too long, and the combination of continued elite play and a rising cap could push the price to the new limits established by Philadelphia’s bold move.

From Celebrini’s perspective, the leverage is obvious. He already carries the spotlight, from local coverage to national attention and even the off‑ice recognition that comes with being on the cover of the latest EA Sports NHL title. Another 90‑plus point season with improved two‑way metrics would make it difficult for the Sharks to argue he should fall far below whatever happens with Carlsson’s contract.

How Carlsson’s Deal Could Shape Celebrini Talks

In the short term, nothing forces San Jose’s hand. There is no offer sheet looming, and Grier and his staff can choose to let Celebrini play out his ELC year before locking him into a long‑term deal. The Carlsson offer sheet, however, has shifted the calculus. It effectively sets a new benchmark for what rival teams might eventually try if Celebrini ever reaches RFA status without a deal in place.

League insiders already see the Carlsson contract as the start of a new era for top‑line center salaries. If the Sharks want to avoid that wave crashing fully onto their books, an aggressive approach this summer or early in the 2025–26 season might be the prudent move. A long‑term deal signed before the next big cap jump hits, and before another superstar center signs an even larger contract, could save San Jose millions over the life of the extension.

For now, the Sharks’ offseason remains defined by choice rather than crisis. They control the timeline, and Celebrini cannot entertain outside offers. That reality gives Grier and his front office a rare chance to get ahead of a changing market. Whether Carlsson’s offer sheet becomes the specific comp or simply a warning sign, it has made clear that the cost of elite centers is climbing fast. San Jose’s next move with Celebrini will show how willing the organization is to pay the new price to secure its future.

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