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NHL Newsnhlrumors

Mitch Marner and Nikolaj Ehlers Are Shaping the 2025-26 NHL Conference and Stanley Cup Odds

Staff Writer 07/04/2025
7 Min Read
NHL: Stanley Cup Playoffs-Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs
May 18, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs forward Mitch Marner (16) adjusts his helmet after a play against the Florida Panthers during the first period of game seven of the second round of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
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The 2025 NHL offseason has already delivered seismic shifts reverberating through the Western and Eastern Conferences. The Vegas Golden Knights’ blockbuster trade-and-sign deal of All-Star winger Mitch Marner and the Carolina Hurricanes’ free agent coup of Nikolaj Ehlers have dramatically impacted the live casino online odds for the Stanley Cup and conference titles. These high-profile moves amid an already frenzied free agency period have set the stage for a compelling run-up to the new season.

Marner is a Golden Knight

Mitch Marner’s arrival in Las Vegas is the type of transaction that instantly alters the landscape of the Western Conference. The Golden Knights executed a sign-and-trade with the Toronto Maple Leafs, securing the 28-year-old two-time All-Star to an eight-year, $96 million contract, carrying a $12 million annual cap hit—the highest on the team. Marner is coming off a career-best season with 75 assists and 102 points, ranking fifth in league scoring and surpassing Vegas’s own Jack Eichel by eight points last year. In exchange, Vegas sent reliable third-line center Nicolas Roy to Toronto, a move that, while necessary for cap flexibility, did subtract from their depth.

For Vegas, the impact on their championship odds is immediate and significant. Marner’s elite playmaking and two-way skill set address the Golden Knights’ need for another top-tier offensive threat to complement Eichel, Mark Stone, and Tomáš Hertl. With Marner in the fold, Vegas’s top-six forwards now rival any in the league, and his presence is expected to elevate their power play and overall scoring efficiency. While some league insiders have expressed concern about the Knights’ depth—especially after losing Roy and defenseman Nicolas Hague in related moves—the consensus is that Marner’s addition vaults Vegas into the conversation as favorites or co-favorites to win the Western Conference and make a serious run at a second Stanley Cup in three years.

However, the Golden Knights’ aggressive pursuit of Marner was also prompted by necessity. The team announced that veteran defenseman Alex Pietrangelo would be sidelined indefinitely due to major surgery, without guaranteeing a triumphant return. Pietrangelo’s move to long-term injured reserve helped Vegas absorb Marner’s cap hit and raised new questions about the team’s blue line, further fueling debates about their overall roster balance. Still, the front office’s willingness to make bold, win-now moves has become a hallmark of the franchise, and Marner’s acquisition is viewed as a clear signal that Vegas is all-in for another championship.

Ehlers Opts for Carolina

Meanwhile, in the Eastern Conference, the Carolina Hurricanes made a statement by signing Nikolaj Ehlers, one of the top free agents available, to a six-year, $51 million contract with an $8.5 million annual cap hit. Ehlers, 29, brings speed, creativity, and a proven scoring touch to a Hurricanes team that has reached the playoffs in six consecutive seasons, including two trips to the Eastern Conference Finals in the past three years. Last season, Ehlers tallied 63 points in 69 games for the Winnipeg Jets and added five goals in eight playoff games, underlining his value as a top-line winger.

Carolina’s pursuit of Ehlers addressed a critical need for a more dynamic offense, especially after previous attempts to bolster their attack through trades yielded mixed results. Ehlers’ ability to drive play and finish scoring chances should provide a significant boost to the Hurricanes’ top line and power play, potentially pushing them over the hump after falling short against the Florida Panthers in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals. General manager Eric Tulsky expressed pride in landing Ehlers, emphasizing his fit with Carolina’s fast-paced, skilled forward group.

NHL Odds

The immediate effect on the Hurricanes’ odds is evident. According to opening odds from major sportsbooks, Carolina entered the offseason as the second-favorite to win the Eastern Conference at +400, trailing only the two-time defending champion Florida Panthers at +270. With Ehlers now in the mix, there is a strong expectation that Carolina’s odds will shorten further, reflecting their upgraded offensive arsenal and sustained defensive excellence. The Hurricanes are widely viewed as one of the few teams with the depth and star power to challenge Florida’s dominance and make a legitimate bid for the Stanley Cup.

The Golden Knights and Hurricanes have demonstrated a willingness to make bold, headline-grabbing moves to close the gap on their rivals and seize the initiative in the race for hockey’s ultimate prize. Marner’s move to Vegas and Ehlers’ signing in Carolina have already shifted the betting landscape, with both teams now positioned as legitimate favorites in their respective conferences. Yet, questions remain about roster depth, defensive stability, and how these new stars will integrate into established systems—factors that will play out for the 2025-26 season.

Last Word

The NHL free agency period is still active, and the landscape could shift again with further signings, trades, or unforeseen developments. Teams across the league are still maneuvering to strengthen their rosters, and the months ahead promise more drama and intrigue before the puck drops in October. For now, though, the Golden Knights and Hurricanes have made their intentions clear: the road to the Stanley Cup will run through Las Vegas and Raleigh, and the odds—both on the ice and in the sportsbooks—have changed accordingly.

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Offer Sheet Compensation

<$1.54M no comp
$1.54M – $2.34M: 3rd
$2.34M – $4.68M: 2nd
$4.68M – $7.02M: 1st, 3rd
$7.02M – $9.36M: 1st, 2nd, 3rd
$9.36M – $11.7M: 1st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
$11.7M+: 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st,

2024-25 Critical Dates

June 27th-28th: 2025 NHL Draft
July 1st: Start of free agency

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