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Edmonton Oilers Stanley Cup Aspirations and Odds

Staff Writer 03/20/2025
5 Min Read
With Leon Draisaitl getting his new extension now attention turns to what Connor McDavid will get on his next deal.
Mar 5, 2024; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Edmonton Oilers center Leon Draisaitl (29) celebrates his game winning overtime goal with teammate center Connor McDavid (97) against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports
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The Edmonton Oilers are facing significant challenges in their quest for the Stanley Cup. Despite being one of the top contenders earlier in the season, their odds have shifted, reflecting their recent performance and the impact of their trade deadline moves. According to the most current betting markets, the Oilers currently hold Stanley Cup odds of around +1100, although there is some variation in these figures, with others listing them at +700 or +1100.

The Oilers’ journey to the Stanley Cup is not without its obstacles. Last season, they fell short in a thrilling seven-game series against the Florida Panthers, who ultimately claimed the championship. The Oilers will aim to overcome their inconsistencies and make a deep playoff run.

Trade Deadline Moves and Their Impact

At the 2025 NHL trade deadline, the Oilers made several key acquisitions to bolster their roster. General Manager Stan Bowman brought in defenseman Jake Walman and forwards Trent Frederic and Max Jones to address specific needs, mainly adding speed and toughness to their offense. However, these moves came at a cost, including future draft picks, and some analysts feel they may not be enough to enhance the team’s chances significantly.

The Oilers did not address their goaltending situation, which remains a contention. Despite discussions about acquiring a top-tier goalie, no significant moves were made. This decision leaves the team relying on Stuart Skinner and Calvin Pickard, with Skinner’s inconsistency being a concern. Most media outlets didn’t grade the Oilers draft deadline moves very well.

Goaltending Situation: A Major Obstacle

The Oilers’ goaltending situation is critical to their quest for success. While Skinner has shown flashes of brilliance, his inconsistency is a worry, and Pickard, though serviceable, is not seen as capable of carrying the team through a deep playoff run. The lack of a reliable, elite goaltender puts additional pressure on the team’s defense and offense to perform flawlessly.

Coach Kris Knoblauch has emphasized the need for better defensive play, particularly in preventing Grade A scoring chances off the rush, an area where the Oilers have struggled significantly since February. Improving defensively will be crucial to compensating for any goaltending shortcomings.

The McDavid and Draisaitl Factor

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl remain the linchpins of the Oilers’ offense. Their on-ice chemistry is undeniable, and when they play together at even strength, the team’s performance improves dramatically. However, when McDavid is separated from Draisaitl, the team’s offensive metrics decline sharply. This season has seen a slight dip in their combined scoring rate, but they remain one of the most potent duos in the NHL.

The Oilers will undoubtedly lean heavily on McDavid and Draisaitl to drive their offense. Their ability to dominate games and create scoring opportunities will be pivotal in overcoming the team’s defensive and goaltending challenges.

Major Obstacles and Rivals

The path to the Stanley Cup is fraught with challenges for the Oilers. Last year’s champions, the Florida Panthers, have strengthened their roster further and are now among the favorites to win again. The Dallas Stars, who made significant additions at the trade deadline, including Mikko Rantanen, are also strong contenders. The Stars’ depth and talent make them formidable opponents, and their current odds reflect their status as one of the top teams in the league.

In the Western Conference, the Oilers face stiff competition from teams like the Vegas Golden Knights and the Colorado Avalanche. The Golden Knights have recently surpassed the Oilers as favorites to win the Pacific Division, highlighting the competitive landscape within their division.

Can the Oilers Win it All?

The Edmonton Oilers face a tough road ahead in pursuing the Stanley Cup. While they made some positive moves at the trade deadline, their inability to address their goaltending issues and their recent inconsistent performance have raised concerns. The team must rely heavily on McDavid and Draisaitl’s brilliance while improving their defensive play to compensate for any goaltending shortcomings.

As the playoffs approach, the Oilers must find consistency and overcome their challenges to make a deep run. With odds of around +1100, they are no longer the favorites they once were, but they still possess the talent and potential to surprise. In the next few weeks, we will see if they can put all the pieces together in time to make a serious push for the championship.

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2024-25 Critical Dates

TBA: 2025 NHL Draft Lottery
June 23rd: Last possible day for the Stanley Cup Final
June 27th-28th: 2025 NHL Draft
July 1st: Start of free agency

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